Archive for September, 2008

Fannie and Freddie in Prospective (and Sallie too)

fannie may_freddie mac_sallie may

Jessica Hagy’s blog Indexed has a rather succinct way of summing up issues.

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Center City Real Estate: Residential Development Report 2008

Grounds for Confidence in Philly Real Estate.

 

Center City’s residential development boom has changed the demographic profile of Center City Philadelphia, as well as helped to insulate it against the current national economic downturn, according to a new report released by the Center City District/Central Philadelphia Development Corp.
 
Along with analyzing local market and demographic statistics, the report summarizes several recent surveys the organization has made of Center City residents and property owners. The findings all point to a downtown that is well-positioned to take advantage of the country’s changing economic and cultural trends and the impact of rising fuel costs.
 
Key findings:

**  Since passage of the 10-year tax abatement in 1997, 10,316 units of housing have been constructed in an expanding Center City, stretching from Girard Avenue in the north to Tasker Street in the south.

**  Despite a recent cooling in the market since the peak in 2006, the average home sales price in Center City is still 39.2% higher in the first half of 2008 ($383,000) than in 2003 ($275,000). Houses are staying on the market an average of only eight days more than in 2003.

**  In 1998, only one condominium sold for over $1 million. In 2007 the number was 115.

**  There were only 4 foreclosures so far this year among the thousands of condos within the CCD and just 72 (0.33%) among the 22,000 owner-occupied homes in the broader Center City housing market.

**  Philadelphia’s foreclosure rate was the lowest among the country’s ten largest metro areas in 2007.

**  Rental vacancy rates in Center City dropped from 5.6% to 5.0% between 2005 and 2007.

**  22,000 residents now live within the boundaries of the Center City District; the area from Vine to South Streets, river to river has seen its population increase to 57,000 residents, while all the neighborhoods now considered as part of the downtown now contain over 90,000 residents.

**  41% of respondents to a 2006 residential survey had recently moved from outside Philadelphia.

**  88%  had at least a college degree, 47% had an advanced or professional degree.

**  In the 2007 survey of condominium owners, seventy-three percent worked downtown, 50% walked to work, 28% took public transportation.

** The birth rate in Center City jumped by 7.8% between 2000 and 2005, a total of 11,372 children were born to downtown parents.

 center city real estate development

 
The full report, Residential Development 2008: Grounds for Confidence, can be downloaded from www.CenterCityPhila.org.

 
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Phila Real Estate Market Data: 2nd Q 2008

Get the real story about the Philly real estate market.

IS PRICE THE REAL STORY? OR IS VOLUME THE REAL STORY?

 

The real story about the real estate market is not the dollar amount for homes sold. Average sold prices really obscure the real news. The real news is not that prices in Philadelphia County for September 2008 are 6% higher than in 2007. The real news is that sales volume for September 2008 was only 37% of sales volume for 2007.

 

(click on graph for larger view) 

philadelphia housing market data 

»  Sales volume has declined at a faster rate than sales prices. 

»  Market reports that tell the price story are reflecting only what has happened in a time frame.

»  Market reports that tell the volume story are reflecting buyer activity. 

»  Buyers are speaking with their consumption, not their checkbook. 

There are 9,638 Active Single Family homes/condo listed for sale in Philadelphia County as of 9/18/2008. The absorption rate is 9 months.

 

SELLERS:  Agents’ market reports that only report monthly sales are only half of the story about the real estate market. When selling you home you cannot rely on national news or even local news for the state of our local Philly market.  You need to know all the facts to make better pricing decisions.

HOW MUCH IS MY HOME WORTH

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Philly Home Buyers: Are Your Neighbors Rotten?

Philly home buyers rotten neighbors

Rotten Neighbor is a database of bad neighbors complete with what makes them so rotten. Anyone can write unsubstantiated reviews of their neighbors or anyone else.

Then again, you can embed video as well, so if you’re going to accuse your neighbor of driving his lawnmower while drunk- and having a “torqouis” toilet outside as well – you can boost your case with a YouTube video while you impress your neighbors with your technical skills. The site has embedded Google maps as well, so the potential for slander seems huge.

At first I thought this site was mildly amusing but decided that it’s nothing but trouble and actually mean spirited.

Does anyone else smell a Fair Housing lawsuit on the horizon?

 

philly rotten neighbor

Also interesting that none of these people claiming rotten neighbors seem to be able to spell or compose in written English at even a 3rd-grade level. I wonder who the rotten neighbors really are? Second thought is they should call it RottenGrammar.com.

Did I mention you can also find sex offenders and foreclosures on the site as well; strange bedfellows or as we say in Philly, What the x*@#!! Well there are better sites to locate sex offenders and as far as the foreclosures go, all they give you is an 800 number to call. I had a hard time finding an example in Philly to post, it seems we have better things to do with our time. Who says we have attytood?  Ok I admit I wasted some time on the site but Sundays are for fun.

 
The real purpose? Countless Google ads mixed with a dose of self-righteous, clueless behavior in bite-size nugget form.

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Phila. Real Estate: Still a Strong Buyers Market

market-watch-2ndq-2008-41 

TREND is the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) for more than 32,000 real estate professionals in and around the Philadelphia metropolitan region. The report is a compilation of TREND data, government data and NAR (National Association of Realtors) analysis. The home sale statistics come from TREND, while the labor and industry data comes from government sources. All of the analysis is written by NAR economists. Complete 2008, 2nd quarter report: Economic and Market Watch Report (pdf).

This information has been reprinted from the Economic and Market Watch Report with permission from TREND.

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